Emerging Markets: Lower aggregate risk, higher fragmentation

Emerging Markets risk has declined significantly since 2023, with the average Country Risk Premium falling by 200bps as macro-financial conditions improved and global risk aversion eased. Yet this aggregate improvement hides growing fragmentation across regions, driven increasingly by political and governance vulnerabilities. In this environment, identifying country-specific risks and opportunities has become essential for investors and corporates operating in Emerging Markets.

Dans un monde d’instabilité durable, une nouvelle lecture du risque pays

Against a backdrop of global polarization, fragmentation of international trade, and growing tensions in supply chains, geopolitical risk has become a key determinant of country risk. How can international instability be measured, and how can geopolitical indicators be integrated into international risk management? TAC ECONOMICS offers a quantitative and operational approach to geopolitical analysis, combining data, geopolitical scenarios, and an early warning system to anticipate shocks, secure the supply chain, and strengthen the strategic resilience of companies with international exposure.

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