Financial Forecasts

This service provides early warning signals on equity markets, sovereign and corporate spreads and risk of reversal using AI models and short to long-term forecasts on emerging and developed market currencies (econometric models for exchange rate projection, computation of probability distributions at multiple horizons through Monte Carlo simulations).

Our lastest EUR/USD forecast (2024, May 7th)

• The USD has emerged as the predominant performer over the quarter, pushing the EUR/USD pair below 1.07 due to robust US economic performance and revised Fed rate cut expectations. Looking ahead, a potential temporary reversal in USD rates is forecasted, especially if markets underestimate a Fed rate cut in Q3 2024.
• Short-term projections indicate EUR/USD around 1.07, with a gradual increase to 1.14 over the next year. Despite concerns about the euro’s weakening, driven by the US economy’s resilience, there’s potential for the euro to appreciate slightly above 1.15 in the first half of 2025.

To request a presentation of the service, complete the form