Emerging Markets in August 2025: Rising Early Warning Signals

As the clock ticks toward August 1, 2025, the world stands at the edge of a trade paradigm shift. At 12:01 a.m., the Executive Order suspending tariffs above 10% expires, ushering in “reciprocal tariffs”—a system meant to mirror the trade barriers imposed on U.S. exports. But what lies ahead is far from a stable framework. Instead, global businesses face legal uncertainty, fragmented negotiations, and a deeper restructuring of global supply chains.