{"id":29687,"date":"2026-05-15T12:29:20","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:29:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/?p=29687"},"modified":"2026-06-11T09:09:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T07:09:41","slug":"war-in-iran-central-banks-and-markets-on-the-agenda-for-cest-votre-argent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/fr\/war-in-iran-central-banks-and-markets-on-the-agenda-for-cest-votre-argent\/","title":{"rendered":"Guerre en Iran, banques centrales et march\u00e9s au programme de \u00ab C\u2019est votre argent \u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"29687\" class=\"elementor elementor-29687\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3936f2de e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"3936f2de\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fcd77cf e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"fcd77cf\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-007b9fc elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"007b9fc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">BFM Business - C'est votre argent\n<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7253d407 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"7253d407\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">War in Iran, central banks, and markets on the agenda for \u201cC\u2019est votre argent\u201d<\/h1>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7ffc341a elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"7ffc341a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d9d37b8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-post-info\" data-id=\"d9d37b8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"post-info.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"elementor-inline-items elementor-icon-list-items elementor-post-info\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item elementor-repeater-item-098b2f8 elementor-inline-item\" itemprop=\"datePublished\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/fr\/2026\/05\/15\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" 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class=\"elementor-post-info__terms-list-item\">Media<\/a>\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9395f23 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"9395f23\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" 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src=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-29077\" alt=\"Lea Dauphas sur le plateau BFM 130326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326.jpg 600w, https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326-500x267.jpg 500w, https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326-18x10.jpg 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7d10d82 elementor-view-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon\" data-id=\"7d10d82\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bfmtv.com\/economie\/replay-emissions\/c-est-votre-argent\/video-c-est-votre-argent-vendredi-15-mai_VN-202605150828.html\">\n\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-far-play-circle\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M371.7 238l-176-107c-15.8-8.8-35.7 2.5-35.7 21v208c0 18.4 19.8 29.8 35.7 21l176-101c16.4-9.1 16.4-32.8 0-42zM504 256C504 119 393 8 256 8S8 119 8 256s111 248 248 248 248-111 248-248zm-448 0c0-110.5 89.5-200 200-200s200 89.5 200 200-89.5 200-200 200S56 366.5 56 256z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-eefa04b e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"eefa04b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-faf90b5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"faf90b5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>On the \u201cC\u2019est votre argent\u201d program broadcast on BFM Business and hosted by Marc Fiorentino, the discussion focused on the economic and financial consequences of the war in Iran, global growth prospects, changes in monetary policy, and market reactions.<\/p>\n<p>The panel included L\u00e9a Dauphas, chief economist at TAC Economics, C\u00e9line Piquemal-Prade, Eric Bleines, and Wilfrid Galand. The panelists shared their analyses on geopolitical risks, equity markets, central banks, and economic outlooks.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9fb0fdf e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"9fb0fdf\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-49ac446 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"49ac446\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">A Geopolitical Context That Has Become Central to the Markets<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ebf81b2 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"ebf81b2\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-bc2bcca elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"bc2bcca\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>At the start of the program, Marc Fiorentino noted that financial markets had so far appeared to absorb various geopolitical shocks relatively quickly. The discussion then turned to the potential consequences of the Iranian conflict on energy prices, inflation, and global growth.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00e9a Dauphas explained that the scenarios developed by TAC Economics were regularly adjusted based on the conflict\u2019s evolution and diplomatic announcements. She noted that, at this stage, the preferred scenario remained one of continued tensions without a major disruption to the global economy. She nevertheless emphasized that, at this stage, the central scenario remained one of the conflict\u2019s \u201cpersistence\u201d without a shift toward a global systemic crisis. In the economist\u2019s view, the markets have so far shown a certain degree of composure, despite the mounting risks.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b013c37 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b013c37\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>This resilience can be attributed to several factors, notably:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>the absence of a major disruption in the global energy supply;<\/li>\n<li>the relative strength of the U.S. economy;<\/li>\n<li>central banks that remain credible in their fight against inflation;<\/li>\n<li>financial markets that are now accustomed to quickly pricing in geopolitical shocks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><br \/>L\u00e9a Dauphas, however, emphasized that this resilience remains fragile. In her view, the global economy is now operating in an environment where geopolitical risks are becoming structural rather than exceptional.<\/p>\n<p>Several speakers noted that markets remained relatively stable despite the context. Eric Bleines specifically mentioned investors\u2019 ability to absorb geopolitical crises more quickly than before, while Wilfrid Galand emphasized that markets continued to focus primarily on U.S. growth and central bank decisions.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2110370 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"2110370\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5c6f8f5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"5c6f8f5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Risks Related to Energy and Inflation<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-53a3ac8 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"53a3ac8\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-847fa38 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"847fa38\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>A significant portion of the discussions focused on energy risks. Speakers noted that any sustained disruption to oil supplies could reignite inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00e9a Dauphas noted that the main area of concern was the trend in energy prices and their indirect effects on production costs and global trade. She also pointed out that geopolitical tensions were becoming a persistent economic factor.<\/p>\n<p>Discussions also addressed the ability of central banks to respond in a context where inflationary risks and slowing growth coexist.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b4a22b5 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"b4a22b5\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0791b62 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"0791b62\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Central Banks: Between Caution and a Wait-and-See Approach<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-abebd8b e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"abebd8b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-15a1bc6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"15a1bc6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The guests discussed the upcoming decisions by central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00e9a Dauphas noted that central banks must now incorporate geopolitical risks more fully into their macroeconomic analyses. She emphasized that markets sometimes anticipate rate cuts too quickly.<\/p>\n<p>Wilfrid Galand emphasized that central banks remain dependent on economic data, particularly trends in core inflation and U.S. employment.<\/p>\n<p>Eric Bleines, for his part, believed that markets continued to hope for a scenario of moderate slowdown allowing for gradual monetary easing.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-22a4a13 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"22a4a13\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fa8a1cb elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"fa8a1cb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Economic Fragmentation and Geopolitical Realignment<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f5b2f66 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f5b2f66\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Discussions also addressed shifts in the global balance of power, particularly relations between the United States and China.<\/p>\n<p>This topic was addressed in the segment on the week\u2019s \u201ctop\/flop,\u201d based on an ISEAS survey indicating that 52% of countries in the region would now prefer to align with Beijing rather than Washington.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00e9a Dauphas explained that this shift is part of a broader trend toward the fragmentation of the global economy. In her view, companies must now take into account issues of industrial sovereignty, supply security, and diplomatic realignments.<\/p>\n<p>The speakers emphasized that this shift has direct implications for investment strategies and international value chains.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-984912d e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"984912d\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-04af517 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"04af517\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Markets Remain Resilient<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1b3ca45 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1b3ca45\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Despite geopolitical tensions, equity markets have shown relative resilience in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Several speakers noted that investors are now better able to distinguish between temporary shocks and risks that could trigger a genuine economic breakdown.<\/p>\n<p>L\u00e9a Dauphas noted that this resilience remained contingent on the conflict not spreading regionally and on the stability of energy markets.<\/p>\n<p>Discussions also focused on global growth prospects. Speakers described an environment marked by a gradual slowdown but without any immediate scenario of a global recession.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-69365500 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"69365500\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-602cf570 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"602cf570\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-69fe8899 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"69fe8899\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Latest posts<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2949a0fe elementor-grid-3 elementor-grid-tablet-2 elementor-grid-mobile-1 elementor-posts--thumbnail-top elementor-widget elementor-widget-posts\" data-id=\"2949a0fe\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;classic_columns&quot;:&quot;3&quot;,&quot;classic_columns_tablet&quot;:&quot;2&quot;,&quot;classic_columns_mobile&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;classic_row_gap&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:35,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;classic_row_gap_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;classic_row_gap_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]}}\" data-widget_type=\"posts.classic\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-posts-container elementor-posts elementor-posts--skin-classic elementor-grid\" role=\"list\">\n\t\t\t\t<article class=\"elementor-post elementor-grid-item post-30139 post 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\u00bb\t\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/article>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Appearing on BFM Business&#8217;s &#8220;C&#8217;est votre argent&#8221; program, TAC ECONOMICS Chief Economist L\u00e9a Dauphas discusses the implications of the Iran conflict for financial markets, inflation, central banks, and the global economic outlook.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":29077,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-media"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran War: What Are the Risks for Markets, Inflation, and Global Growth? | TAC ECONOMICS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"How the Middle East conflict is driving oil prices and reshaping global inflation. 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