{"id":29076,"date":"2026-03-13T17:30:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T16:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/?p=29076"},"modified":"2026-03-26T08:49:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T07:49:56","slug":"middle-east-oil-shock-inflation-global-impact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/en\/middle-east-oil-shock-inflation-global-impact\/","title":{"rendered":"Conflit au Moyen-Orient, p\u00e9trole et inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"29076\" class=\"elementor elementor-29076\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3936f2de e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"3936f2de\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fcd77cf e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"fcd77cf\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-007b9fc elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"007b9fc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">BFM Business - C'est votre argent\n<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7253d407 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"7253d407\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Conflit au Moyen-Orient, p\u00e9trole et inflation<\/h1>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7ffc341a elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"7ffc341a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" 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elementor-post-info__item--type-date\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<time>March 13, 2026<\/time>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item elementor-repeater-item-d3c01a0 elementor-inline-item\" itemprop=\"about\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"fas fa-tags\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text elementor-post-info__item elementor-post-info__item--type-terms\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-post-info__terms-list\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/en\/category\/media\/\" class=\"elementor-post-info__terms-list-item\">Media<\/a>\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9395f23 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"9395f23\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;,&quot;background_motion_fx_motion_fx_scrolling&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;background_motion_fx_scale_effect&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;background_motion_fx_scale_range&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;%&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:{&quot;start&quot;:50,&quot;end&quot;:100}},&quot;background_motion_fx_scale_direction&quot;:&quot;out-in&quot;,&quot;background_motion_fx_scale_speed&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:4,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;background_motion_fx_devices&quot;:[&quot;desktop&quot;,&quot;tablet&quot;,&quot;mobile&quot;]}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5a0edc5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"5a0edc5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"320\" src=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-29077\" alt=\"Lea Dauphas sur le plateau BFM 130326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326.jpg 600w, https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326-500x267.jpg 500w, https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326-18x10.jpg 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7d10d82 elementor-view-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon\" data-id=\"7d10d82\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bfmtv.com\/economie\/replay-emissions\/bfm-bourse\/video-l-eco-du-monde-chine-la-hausse-de-la-bourse-aussi-benefique-qu-un-plan-de-relance-17-09_VN-202509170702.html\">\n\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-play-circle\"><\/i>\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-eefa04b e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"eefa04b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-faf90b5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"faf90b5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Les tensions g\u00e9opolitiques peuvent-elles remettre en cause l\u2019\u00e9quilibre \u00e9conomique mondial ? C\u2019est la question centrale abord\u00e9e lors de l\u2019\u00e9mission <em>C\u2019est votre argent<\/em> du 13 mars sur BFM Business.<\/p><p>Autour de Marc Fiorentino, plusieurs \u00e9conomistes et experts des march\u00e9s \u2013 dont L\u00e9a Dauphas, chef \u00e9conomiste chez TAC Economics \u2013 ont analys\u00e9 les cons\u00e9quences potentielles du conflit au Moyen-Orient sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale, les march\u00e9s financiers et les perspectives d\u2019inflation.<\/p><p>Si les march\u00e9s ont pour l\u2019instant relativement bien r\u00e9sist\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019escalade des tensions, les intervenants ont soulign\u00e9 que l\u2019\u00e9volution de la situation d\u00e9pendra avant tout d\u2019un facteur d\u00e9terminant : la dur\u00e9e du conflit.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9fb0fdf e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"9fb0fdf\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-49ac446 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"49ac446\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">La dur\u00e9e du conflit, variable d\u00e9terminante pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ebf81b2 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"ebf81b2\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-bc2bcca elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"bc2bcca\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>D\u00e8s l\u2019ouverture de l\u2019\u00e9mission, Marc Fiorentino rappelle que les march\u00e9s r\u00e9agissent g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement \u00e0 la g\u00e9opolitique selon une logique simple : l\u2019intensit\u00e9 et la dur\u00e9e des crises d\u00e9terminent leur impact \u00e9conomique.<\/p><p>Dans le cas actuel, plusieurs sc\u00e9narios sont envisag\u00e9s par les intervenants. Si les tensions restent limit\u00e9es et de courte dur\u00e9e, les cons\u00e9quences pourraient se limiter \u00e0 une volatilit\u00e9 temporaire des march\u00e9s financiers. En revanche, une escalade durable pourrait rapidement produire des effets macro\u00e9conomiques significatifs.<\/p><p>Dans ce contexte, les experts insistent sur un point : l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale reste particuli\u00e8rement vuln\u00e9rable aux perturbations des march\u00e9s \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2110370 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"2110370\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5c6f8f5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"5c6f8f5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz au c\u0153ur des inqui\u00e9tudes<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-53a3ac8 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"53a3ac8\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-847fa38 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"847fa38\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>C\u2019est pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment sur cette dimension \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique que s\u2019est concentr\u00e9e l\u2019intervention de L\u00e9a Dauphas.<\/p><p>Selon l\u2019\u00e9conomiste, le principal risque \u00e9conomique associ\u00e9 \u00e0 la crise actuelle concerne la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des flux p\u00e9troliers transitant par le d\u00e9troit d\u2019Ormuz, un passage maritime strat\u00e9gique par lequel transite une part consid\u00e9rable du commerce mondial de p\u00e9trole.<\/p><p>Une perturbation durable dans cette zone aurait des cons\u00e9quences imm\u00e9diates sur les march\u00e9s de l\u2019\u00e9nergie. Les prix du p\u00e9trole pourraient alors fortement augmenter, ce qui entra\u00eenerait un choc inflationniste susceptible de se diffuser rapidement \u00e0 l\u2019ensemble de l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale.<\/p><p>L\u00e9a Dauphas souligne que ce type de choc \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique agit comme un multiplicateur de tensions \u00e9conomiques. La hausse des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie rench\u00e9rit les co\u00fbts de production, r\u00e9duit le pouvoir d\u2019achat des m\u00e9nages et p\u00e8se sur la confiance des entreprises.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b4a22b5 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"b4a22b5\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0791b62 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"0791b62\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Des effets \u00e9conomiques qui peuvent appara\u00eetre rapidement<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-abebd8b e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"abebd8b\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-15a1bc6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"15a1bc6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Un autre point important de son analyse concerne la rapidit\u00e9 avec laquelle ces effets pourraient se mat\u00e9rialiser.<\/p><p>Contrairement \u00e0 certaines crises \u00e9conomiques dont les cons\u00e9quences mettent plusieurs ann\u00e9es \u00e0 appara\u00eetre, un choc \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique peut se transmettre relativement vite \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie r\u00e9elle. Selon L\u00e9a Dauphas, les premiers effets pourraient \u00eatre visibles d\u00e8s les prochains trimestres, notamment dans les statistiques d\u2019inflation et dans les r\u00e9sultats des entreprises.<\/p><p>Les prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie influencent directement de nombreux secteurs : transport, industrie, agriculture ou encore production \u00e9lectrique. Une hausse durable du p\u00e9trole se r\u00e9percute donc rapidement sur les prix \u00e0 la consommation.<\/p><p>Dans ce contexte, les banques centrales pourraient se retrouver face \u00e0 un dilemme complexe : soutenir la croissance dans un environnement incertain tout en \u00e9vitant un retour de l\u2019inflation.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-22a4a13 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"22a4a13\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fa8a1cb elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"fa8a1cb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Des march\u00e9s pour l\u2019instant relativement calmes<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f5b2f66 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f5b2f66\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Malgr\u00e9 ces risques potentiels, les march\u00e9s financiers ont jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent r\u00e9agi avec une certaine mod\u00e9ration. Les intervenants de l\u2019\u00e9mission soulignent que les investisseurs semblent pour l\u2019instant privil\u00e9gier un sc\u00e9nario de tensions limit\u00e9es.<\/p><p>Cette relative s\u00e9r\u00e9nit\u00e9 s\u2019explique par plusieurs facteurs.<\/p><p>D\u2019une part, les march\u00e9s ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 int\u00e9gr\u00e9 une part importante de risques g\u00e9opolitiques ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. D\u2019autre part, les fondamentaux \u00e9conomiques restent globalement solides, notamment aux \u00c9tats-Unis o\u00f9 la croissance demeure dynamique.<\/p><p>Toutefois, plusieurs experts pr\u00e9sents sur le plateau rappellent que cette situation pourrait \u00e9voluer rapidement. L\u2019histoire des march\u00e9s montre en effet que les r\u00e9actions peuvent devenir brutales si les investisseurs r\u00e9\u00e9valuent soudainement les risques.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-984912d e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"984912d\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-04af517 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"04af517\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Les implications pour les politiques mon\u00e9taires<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1b3ca45 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1b3ca45\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>La question des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat constitue un autre sujet important abord\u00e9 pendant l\u2019\u00e9mission.<\/p><p>Depuis le choc inflationniste de 2022, les grandes banques centrales ont adopt\u00e9 des politiques mon\u00e9taires restrictives afin de stabiliser les prix. L\u2019espoir d\u2019une d\u00e9tente progressive des taux repose aujourd\u2019hui sur le ralentissement de l\u2019inflation.<\/p><p>Mais une hausse durable du p\u00e9trole pourrait compliquer ce sc\u00e9nario. Une remont\u00e9e des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie aurait pour effet de raviver les pressions inflationnistes, ce qui pourrait contraindre les banques centrales \u00e0 maintenir des taux \u00e9lev\u00e9s plus longtemps que pr\u00e9vu.<\/p><p>Dans ce cas, les conditions financi\u00e8res resteraient restrictives pour les entreprises et les m\u00e9nages, ce qui p\u00e8serait sur la croissance mondiale.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cac59eb e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"cac59eb\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6a0bd54 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"6a0bd54\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Un monde \u00e9conomique de plus en plus influenc\u00e9 par la g\u00e9opolitique<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fc8851b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"fc8851b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Au-del\u00e0 de l\u2019analyse conjoncturelle, les discussions de l\u2019\u00e9mission mettent en lumi\u00e8re une tendance plus structurelle : la mont\u00e9e du risque g\u00e9opolitique dans l\u2019analyse \u00e9conomique.<\/p><p>Les conflits r\u00e9gionaux, les tensions commerciales et les rivalit\u00e9s entre grandes puissances jouent d\u00e9sormais un r\u00f4le majeur dans les d\u00e9cisions d\u2019investissement. Les entreprises comme les investisseurs doivent int\u00e9grer ces incertitudes dans leurs strat\u00e9gies.<\/p><p>La mondialisation \u00e9conomique, qui reposait sur des cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement relativement stables, \u00e9volue vers un mod\u00e8le plus fragment\u00e9, o\u00f9 les consid\u00e9rations de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et de souverainet\u00e9 prennent une importance croissante.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c0bb7bb e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"c0bb7bb\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ef833d9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"ef833d9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">En conclusion<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6b8eca9 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"6b8eca9\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ab92847 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ab92847\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>L\u2019\u00e9mission du 13 mars de <em>C\u2019est votre argent<\/em> rappelle combien l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale reste \u00e9troitement li\u00e9e aux \u00e9volutions g\u00e9opolitiques.<\/p><p>Pour L\u00e9a Dauphas, l\u2019enjeu principal r\u00e9side dans la capacit\u00e9 du conflit actuel \u00e0 perturber durablement les march\u00e9s de l\u2019\u00e9nergie. Si les tensions restent limit\u00e9es, l\u2019impact \u00e9conomique pourrait \u00eatre contenu. Mais une escalade prolong\u00e9e aurait des r\u00e9percussions rapides sur l\u2019inflation, les politiques mon\u00e9taires et la croissance mondiale.<\/p><p>Dans un environnement international marqu\u00e9 par l\u2019incertitude, l\u2019analyse \u00e9conomique ne peut plus se limiter aux indicateurs traditionnels. Elle doit d\u00e9sormais int\u00e9grer pleinement les dynamiques g\u00e9opolitiques qui fa\u00e7onnent l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-69365500 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"69365500\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-602cf570 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"602cf570\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-69fe8899 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"69fe8899\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Latest posts<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2949a0fe 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has-post-thumbnail hentry category-media\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-post__thumbnail__link\" href=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/en\/middle-east-oil-shock-inflation-global-impact\/\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__thumbnail\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326-500x267.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium wp-image-29077\" alt=\"Lea Dauphas sur le plateau BFM 130326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326-500x267.jpg 500w, https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326-18x10.jpg 18w, https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BFM-170326.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__text\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-post__title\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/en\/middle-east-oil-shock-inflation-global-impact\/\" >\n\t\t\t\tConflit au Moyen-Orient, p\u00e9trole et inflation\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__meta-data\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-post-date\">\n\t\t\tMarch 13, 2026\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__read-more-wrapper\">\n\t\t\n\t\t<a class=\"elementor-post__read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/en\/middle-east-oil-shock-inflation-global-impact\/\" aria-label=\"Read more about Conflit au Moyen-Orient, p\u00e9trole et inflation\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\tRead More \u00bb\t\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/article>\n\t\t\t\t<article class=\"elementor-post elementor-grid-item post-28475 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-others\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-post__thumbnail__link\" href=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/en\/emerging-markets-risk-fragmentation-2026\/\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__thumbnail\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Country-Risk-Map-February-2026-500x267.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium wp-image-28491\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Country-Risk-Map-February-2026-500x267.jpg 500w, https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Country-Risk-Map-February-2026-18x10.jpg 18w, https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Country-Risk-Map-February-2026.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__text\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-post__title\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/en\/emerging-markets-risk-fragmentation-2026\/\" >\n\t\t\t\tEmerging Markets: Lower aggregate risk, higher fragmentation\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__meta-data\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-post-date\">\n\t\t\tMarch 6, 2026\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post__read-more-wrapper\">\n\t\t\n\t\t<a class=\"elementor-post__read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/taceconomics.com\/en\/emerging-markets-risk-fragmentation-2026\/\" aria-label=\"Read more about Emerging Markets: Lower aggregate risk, higher fragmentation\" tabindex=\"-1\" >\n\t\t\tRead More \u00bb\t\t<\/a>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/article>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are fueling a surge in oil prices and reigniting global inflation risks. This analysis deciphers the macro-financial transmission channels and potential scenarios for growth, markets and monetary policy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":29077,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29076","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-media"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Conflit au Moyen-Orient, p\u00e9trole et inflation - TAC ECONOMICS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"How the Middle East conflict is driving oil prices and reshaping global inflation. 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